Part IV

 

12. The Political Demography of Ethnicity and Nationalism

 

Required:

Weiner, Myron and Teitelbaum, Michael S. 2001. Political Demography: Demographic Engineering (New York & Oxford: Berghahn), ch. 5 (pp. 55-64) - [PC]

Horowitz, Donald L. 1985. Ethnic Groups in Conflict (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1985), pp. 175-181 ('the fear of extinction'); 194-196 ('winning the census'); 262-265 ('When paths cross')  - 305.8 HOR – [PC]

Kennedy, Paul and Matthew Connelly. 1994. 'Must it Be the Rest Against the West,' Atlantic Monthly, December, pp. 61-91 – Lexis-Nexis

Willetts , D. 2003. 'Too Many Kids , ' Prospect , October - Lexis-Nexis

Huntington, Clash of Civilizations , pp. 117-120 - [PC] 909.829 HUN

 

 

Case 1: Africa

Green, Elliott. 2011. 'Demographic Change and Conflict in Contemporary Africa', in Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions, edited by J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Boulder, CO: Paradigm Press.

Case 2: Israel/Palestine

 

Fargues, P. 2000. 'Protracted National Conflict and Fertility Change: Palestinians and Israelis in the twentieth century,' Population and Development Review, Vol.26, No.3, pp.441-482 - JSTOR

 

Podcast: Me in a tie (!) speaking at the launch of our book Political Demography, at the Wilson Center, Washington, January 2012: http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/political-demography-identity-institutions-and-conflict-book-launch  (click on webcast 2, from 35:40 minutes, to hear my talk on the political demography of ethnicity, religion and nationalism). You may also wish to check out some of the other speakers, especially Jack Goldstone in webcast 1.

Recommended:

*Toft, M. D. 2007. 'Population shifts and civil war: A test of power transition theory.' International Interactions 33 (3):243-269.

* Goldstone, Jack, Eric Kaufmann and M. Toft. 2011. Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions (Boulder, CO: Paradigm)

Demeny, P. and G. McNicholl. 2006. (eds.) The Political Economy of Global Population Change, special supplement to vol. 32, Population and Development Review, esp. ch. 1 

*Dabelko, G. et al. 2005. 'Population and Conflict: Exploring the Links', ECSP Report, Issue 11 - available electronically

*Weiner , Myron and Teitelbaum , Michael S. 2001. Political Demography: Demographic Engineering ( New York & Oxford : Berghahn) , esp. chs. 3-5 - [PC]

*Slack, J. A. and R. Doyon. 2001. 'Population dynamics and Susceptibility for Ethnic Conflict: the case of Bosnia and Herzegovina,' Journal of Peace Research, Vol.38, No.2, pp.139-161 - JSTOR

*King, L. 2002. 'Demographic Trends, Pronatalism, and Nationalist Ideologies in the late Twentieth Century,' Ethnic and Racial Studies, Vol.25, No.3, pp.367-389 - INGENTA

*Toft , Monica. 2002. ‘Differential Demographic Growth in Multinational States: The Case of Israel’s Two-Front War’ , Review of International Affairs (Fall)

*Weiner , Myron and Sharon Stanton Russell (eds). 2001. Demography and National Security ( New York : Berghahn Books) , esp. chs 1 , 3 , and 7-10 – [ NIS ]

*Teitelbaum , Michael S. 1998.(ed.) A Question of Numbers: high migration , low fertility , and the politics of national identity ( New York : Hill and Wang) , esp. chapters on Fran ce and Britain – [ NIS ]  

*Demeny, P. and G. McNicholl. 2006. 'The Political Demography of the World System, 2000-2050' (New York: Population Research Council) - available electronically

* Brunborg, Helge, Ewa Tabeau and Henrik Urdal (eds.) 2006. The Demography of Armed Conflict (Dordrecht, London: Kluwer)

 Diamond, J. 1997. Guns, Germs, and Steel: the Fates of Human Societies. (New York; London: W.W. Norton & Co.)

*Hirschman, C. 2002. 'Population and Society: Historical Trends and Future Prospects,' unpublished paper – [JNIS]

Leahy, E., Robert Engelman, Carolyn Gibb Vogel, Sarah Haddock and Tod Preston. 2007. 'The Shape of Things to Come', Population Action International.

*Himmelfarb , Milton and Victor Baras (eds). 1978. Zero Population Growth-For Whom?: differential fertility and minority group survival ( Westport , CT : Praeger) – [ NIS ]

* Huntington , S. 2005. Who Are We? The Cultural Core of American National Identity ( New York & London : Simon and Schuster) , ch. 9 ('Mexican Immigration and Hispanicization') – [ NIS ]

Luedtke, Adam. 2005. 'European Integration, Public Opinion and Immigration Policy: Testing the Impact of National Identity ', European Union Politics, Vol. 6, No. 1, 83-112 

Lynch, James P. and Rita Simon. 2003. Immigration the World Over: Statutes, Policies, and Practices (Lanham, MD: Lexington Books)

Demeny , P. 2003. 'Population Policy Dilemmas in Europe at the Dawn of the Twenty-First Century , Population and Development Review , ' Vol.29 , No.1 , pp.1-28 – [JNIS]

Doherty , Paul. 1996. 'The Numbers Game: the demographic context of politics , 'in A. Aughey and D. Morrow (eds.) , Northern Ireland Politics ( London , Longman) , pp. 199-209 - 320.941609 NOR

Joppke, Christian. 1999. 'How Immigration is Changing Citizenship,' Ethnic & Racial Studies, vol.22, no. 4 - INGENTA

Joppke, Christian. 2005. Selecting by Origin : ethnic migration in the liberal state (Cambridge, MA; London: Harvard University Press) - [NIS] LSE

King , L. 2001. From Pronatalism to Social Welfare? Extending family allowances to minority populations in Fran ce and Israel , European Journal of Population , Vol.17 , No.4 , pp.305-322 – [JNIS]

Gilbar , G. 1997. Population Dilemmas in the Middle East : essays in political demography and economy ( London : Fran k Cass) – [ NIS ]

Faust K , Bach R , Gadalla S , Khattab H , Gulick J. 1991. ' Mass Education , Islamic Revival , and the Population Problem in Egypt , ' Journal of Comparative Family Studies , 22 (3): 329-341

Fetzer , J. 2000. Public Attitudes toward Immigration in the United States , Fran ce , and Germany ( Cambridge : University Press) – [O/O]

Petersen , William. 1964. The Politics of Population ( London : Gollancz) – [ NIS ]

Hoffmann , D.L. 2000. 'Mothers in the Motherland: Stalinist pronatalism in its pan-European context , ' Journal of Social History , vol. 34 , no. 1 , pp. 35-. - Project Muse

Conversi , Daniele. 1997.  'Nationalism and immigration' , in The Basques , the Catalans , and Spain : Alternative Routes to Nationalist Mobilization ( London : Hurst ) , ch. 8 - 320.540946 CON

Allerfeldt K. 2003. 'Race and Restriction: Anti-Asian Immigration Pressures in the Pacific North-west of America during the Progressive Era, 1885–1924,' History, vol. 88, no. 1, pp. 53-73 - INGENTA

Camiscioli E. 2001. 'Producing Citizens, Reproducing the ‘French Race’: Immigration, Demography, and Pronatalism in Early Twentieth-Century France,' Gender & History, vol. 13, no. 3, pp. 593-621 - INGENTA

Gurr , Ted. 1993. Minorities at Risk: a global view of ethnopolitical conflicts ( Washington , D.C. : United States Institute of Peace Press) , brief section on "Demographic and ecological stress , " pp. 49-51 – [ NIS ]

Kanaaneh , R.A. 2002. Birthing the Nation: strategies of Palestinian women in Israel ( Berkeley : University of California Press ) – [ NIS ]

Vincent , J. 1996. 'Who's afraid of an ageing population?: Nationalism , the free market , and the construction of old age as an issue , ' Critical Social Policy , Vol.16 , No.2 , pp.3-26 – Reference only

Anson , J and A. Meir. 1996. 'Religiosity , Nationalism and Fertility in Israel , European Journal of Population , ' Vol.12 , No.1 , pp.1-25 – [JNIS]

Fierman , W. 2000. 'Changing Urban Demography and the Prospects of Nationalism in Kazakhstan , ' Canadian Review of Studies in Nationalism , Vol.XXVII , No.1-2 , pp.7-20 - [JNIS]

 

Essay Question

·        How do demographic dynamics affect ethnic conflict?

13. 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?': Demography , Religion and Politics'

Required:  

Kaufmann, Eric. 2010. Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth (London: Profile), introduction  [podcast of book from Blackwell's, 3-5 March]

Longman , Philip. 2005. The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birthrates Threaten World Prosperity and What to do About it ( New York , N.Y. : Basic Books) , chs. 4 and 6-

Greeley , A. 2001. 'The demographic imperative in religious change in the United States , ' American Journal of Sociology , vol. 107 , no. 2 , pp. 468-500 - JSTOR

Cincotta, Richard, and Eric Kaufmann. 2009. 'The Changing Face of Israel'. Foreign Policy, June.

Also see reviews of the book at: http://www.sneps.net/

Podcasts

Eric Kaufmann, 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth', RSA, April 15, 2010 (youtube)

George Miller (Blackwell), Interview with Eric Kaufmann on the book, 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth'

E. Kaufmann interview with John Cleary on Australian Broadcasting Corporation ‘Sunday Nights’ on the book 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth'

Recommended:

*Kaufmann, Eric. 2010. Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth (London: Profile) (link to Amazon)

*Wise, Yaacov. 2007. "Majority of Jews will be Ultra-Orthodox by 2050". University of Manchester press release, 23 July.

Heilman, Samuel C. 1995. The Religious Battle for Israel. Christian Century, December 20.

*Efron, Noah J. 2003. Real Jews : secular versus ultra-orthodox and the struggle for Jewish identity in Israel. New York: Basic Books.

*Joyce, Kathryn. 2009. Quiverfull : inside the Christian patriarchy movement. Boston: Beacon Press.

*Goldberg, Michelle. 2009. The means of reproduction : sex, power, population and the future of the world. New York: Penguin Press.

Riddell, K. 2009. Islam and the Securitisation of Population Policies: Muslim States and Sustainability (London: Ashgate)

Norris , Pippa and Ron Inglehart. 2005. Sacred and Secular: Religion and Politics Worldwide (Cambridge: CUP)

Stark, Rodney, and Reid Larkin Neilson. 2005. The rise of Mormonism. New York: Columbia University Press.

Kraybill, Donald B., and Carl Desportes Bowman. 2001. On the backroad to heaven : Old Order Hutterites, Mennonites, Amish, and Brethren, Center books in Anabaptist studies. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

*Stark, Rodney. 1996. The rise of Christianity : a sociologist reconsiders history. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.

Fukuyama , Fran cis. 1992. The End of History and the Last Man (Hamish Hamilton , London)

Wattenberg , Ben. 2005. Fewer: How the New Demography of Depopulation will Shape our Future (Chicago: Ivan R. Dee) , introduction

*Jones, G. and M. Karim. Islam, the State and Population (London: Hurst)

Winckler, Onn. 2005. Arab political demography Sussex studies in demographic developments and socioeconomic policies in the Middle East and North Africa. Brighton, England ; Portland, Or.: Sussex Academic Press., esp last chapter.

Della Pergola, Sergio. 2001. Jerusalem’s Population, 1995–2020: Demography, Multiculturalism and Urban Policies. European Journal of Population 17:165-199.

*Berman, E. 2000. Sect, subsidy, and sacrifice: an economist’s view of ultra-orthodox Jews. Quarterly Journal of Economics 115 (3):905-953.

Berman, Eli, and A. Stepanyan. 2003. Fertility and Education in Radical Islamic Sects: Evidence from Asia and Africa. NBER working paper

Weiner , Myron and Sharon Stanton Russell (eds). 2001. Demography and National Security (New York: Berghahn Books) , esp. ch. 12 (Islam & West) and conclusion

Hout , M. and Claude Fischer. 2002. 'Why More Americans Have No Religious Preference: Politics and Generations , ' American Sociological Review , vol. 67 , no. 2 (April) , pp. 165-90 - [e journals]

Religiosity and Fertility

*Westoff, C. F., and T. Frejka. 2007. Religiousness and fertility among European Muslims. Population and Development Review 33 (4):785-809.

*Frejka, T., and C. F. Westoff. 2008. Religion, religiousness and fertility in the US and in Europe. European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie 24 (1):5-31.

Berghammer, C. 2009. Causality between Religiosity and Childbearing: Evidence from a Dutch Panel Study. In IUSSP Conference Paper.

Berghammer, C, D. Philipov, and T. Sobotka. 2006. Religiosity and demographic events: a comparative study of European countries. In paper delivered at European Population Conference (EPC), Liverpool, 2006.

Adsera , A. 2005. Religion and Changes in Family-size Norms in Developed Countries , IZA ( University of Chicago : Population Research Center ) , presented at 2005 APSA meetings - available electronically

*Adsera , A. 2005. ‘Marital Fertility and Religion: Recent Changes in Spain , ’ IZA Discussion Paper 1399 (University of Chicago: Population Research Center)

Sander , W. 1992. ‘Catholicism and the Economics of Fertility , Population Studies 46 , p.477-489.

Simons , John. 1980. ‘Reproductive behaviour as religious practice’ , in C. Hohn and R. Mackensen (eds.) , Determinants of Fertility Trends: Theories Re-Examined (Liège: Ordina) , pp. 133-45

Williams , L.B. and B.G. Zimmer. 1990. ‘The Changing Influence of Religion on US Fertility: Evidence from Rhode Island , Demography 27 (3): 475-481.

SDT theory

Lesthaeghe, R. 2007. Second Demographic Transition. In Encyclopedia of Sociology, edited by G. Ritzer. Oxford: Blackwell.

Lesthaeghe, R., and L. Neidert. 2006. The Second Demographic Transition in the United States:. Exception or Textbook Example? Population and Development Review 32 (4):669-698.

Van de Kaa , Dirk. 2001. ‘Postmodern fertility preferences: from changing value orientation to new fertility behaviour , Population and Development Review , vol. 27 , pp. 290-331

Lesthaeghe , R. and J. Surkyn. 1988. ‘Cultural Dynamics and Economic Theories of Fertility Change , Population and Development Review 14 (1): 1-45.

 

Essay Question

·        'Religious fundamentalism will defeat secularism because the devout have more kids.' Discuss.

14. Diversity vs. Solidarity: The Impact of Multi-Ethnicity on Wealth, Redistribution, Democracy and Political Stability

 

Required:  

*Putnam, Robert D. 2007. 'E Pluribus Unum: Diversity and Community in the Twenty-first Century (The 2006 Johan Skytte Prize Lecture)', Scandinavian Political Studies 30 (2), 137–174

Goodhart, D. 2004. 'Is Britain Too Diverse,' Prospect, February. See also 'replies' (esp. Kymlicka-Banting and Parekh) and 'replies to the replies': http://www.prospect-magazine.co.uk/replies.asp

Malik , Kenan. 2005. 'Too Diverse?' , <http://www.kenanmalik.com/debates/prospect_diversity.html>

Pearce , Nick. 2005. 'Diversity Versus Solidarity: a new progressive dilemma?' , Renewal , 21 September < http://www.ippr.org/articles/index.asp?id=464>

'Diversity versus solidarity , ' RSA/Prospect Political Debate , with David Willetts MP, Bhikhu Parekh , Michael Hastings , Professor Robert E Rowthorn , Chaired by David Goodhart , Editor , Prospect , 28th January 2003

'Multiculturalism: The kindness of strangers?' , Economist , 26 Feb , 2005  

Recommended:

Skeptics

*Putnam , Robert. 2005. “Who Bonds? Who Bridges? Findings from the Social Capital Benchmark Survey.” Presentation to the annual meetings of the American Political Science Association , Chicago , September

*Alesina , Alberto and Edward Glaeser. 2005. Fighting Poverty in the US and Europe : A World of Difference ( Oxford : Oxford University Press)

*Alesina , A. , E. Glaeser and B. Sacerdote. 2001. ‘Why Doesn’t the United States have a European Style Welfare State?’ , Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.

Alesina , A. and Ferrara , E. (2000) , ‘The Determinants of Trust’ , NBER Working Paper.

Alesina , Alberto , Reza Baqir , and William Easterly. 1999. “Public Goods and Ethnic Divisions.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 114(November):1243–84.

Wolfe , Alan and Jyette Klausen. 1997. “Identity Politics and the Welfare State , Social Philosophy and Policy , 1997 , 14(2): 213-55 , and "Other Peoples , " Prospect 2000 (Dec): 28-33.

Perlman , S. 1929. A History of Trade Unionism in the United States ( New York : The Macmillan Company)

Optimists

*Banting , Keith G. (2006) 'The Multicultural Welfare State: International Experience and North American Narratives , ' Social Policy & Administration 39 (2) , 98-115

*Banting , K. 2006. ' Canada as Counter-Narrative: Multiculturalism , Recognition and Redistribution , ' paper delivered at Canadian Political Science Association meetings

*Soroka , Stuart , Richard Johnston and Keith Banting. 2005. “Ethnicity , Trust and the Welfare State , ” in Philippe Van Parijs , editor , Cultural Diversity versus Economic Solidarity. Brussels : Deboeck Univesrité Press. (also working paper , 2002)

* Stolle, Dietlind, Stuart Soroka, Richard Johnston. 2008. 'When Does Diversity Erode Trust? Neighborhood Diversity, Interpersonal Trust and the Mediating Effect of Social Interactions', Political Studies, Volume 56, Issue 1, Date: March 2008, Pages: 57-75

Seekings , J. 2003. 'Institutional design , cultural diversity and economic solidarity: A comparison of South Africa , Brazil and Nigeria , ' working paper

Soroka , Stuart , Keith Banting and Richard Johnston (forthcoming). “Immigration and Redistribution in the Global Era , ” in Pranab Bardham , Samuel Bowles and Michael Wallerstein , eds. , Globalization and Social Redistribution ( Princeton NJ and New York : Princeton University Press and Twentieth Century Fund) , in press.

Aizlewood , A. and Pendakur , R. (2005) , 'Ethnicity and Social Capital in Canada , ' Vancouver Centre of Excellence , Research on Immigration and Integration in the Metropolis.

Diversity and Political Instability

*Posner , Daniel. 2005. "Measuring Ethnic Fractionalization in Africa " , American Journal of Political Science , 48 (4) , pp. 849-863

*Feree , K. 2005. 'Demographics and Electoral Volatility in Africa , ' draft prepared for LiCEP Madison , WI .

*Fearon , James D. 2002. 'Ethnic Structure and Cultural Diversity around the World: A Cross-National Data Set on Ethnic Groups' working paper for 2002 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association

*Vanhanen , T. 1999. 'Domestic Ethnic Conflict and Ethnic Nepotism: A Comparative Analysis , ' Journal of Peace Research , Vol. 36 , No. 1 , pp. 55-73 [JNIS]

*Ellingsen , T. 2000. 'Colorful Community or Ethnic Witches' Brew: multiethnicity and domestic conflict during and after the Cold War , ' The Journal of Conflict Resolution , Vol. 44 , No. 2 , pp. 228-49

Scarritt , James R. and Shaheen Mozaffar. 1999. 'The Specification of Ethnic Cleavages and Ethnopolitical Groups for the Analysis of Democratic Competition in Africa .' Nationalism and Ethnic Politics 5(1):82–117.

Laczko , Leslie. 1994. " Canada 's Pluralism in Comparative Perspective" , Ethnic and Racial Studies , vol. 17 , no. 1 , January , pp. 20-41

Reilly , Benjamin. 2000. “Democracy , Ethnic Fragmentation , and Internal Conflict: Confused Theories , Faulty Data , and the ‘Crucial Case’ of Papua New Guinea .” International Security 25(Winter):162–85.

Diversity and Economic Growth

Mauro P. 1995 ‘Corruption and Growth.’ Quarterly Journal of Economics 110(3): 681-712.

Easterly W. and R. Levine .1997. ‘ Africa ’s Growth Tragedy: Policies and Ethnic Divisions.’ Quarterly Journal of Economics , 111(4): 1203-1250.

 

Essay Question

·        'Diversity makes people anti-social' - The Economist. Comment using results from at least one quantitative study.

 

15. Conclusion and Review