Weekly Readings
1. Demography, Migration and Power: Concepts and Trends
Required:
Goldstone, J. (2010). "'The New Population Bomb: The Four Megatrends That Will Change the World'." Foreign Affairs 1(89): 31-43.
Kaufmann, E. and M. D. Toft (2012). 'Introduction'. Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping National Politics and International Security J. A. Goldstone, E. Kaufmann and M. Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 3-9.
Goldstone, J. (2012). "A Theory of Political Demography: Human and Institutional Reproduction". Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions. J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 10-30.
Goldstone, J. (2012). "Politics and Demography: A Summary of Critical Relationships". Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions. J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 268-275.
Recommended:
*Weiner, M. and M. S. Teitelbaum (2001). Political Demography: Demographic Engineering. New York & Oxford, Berghahn. Introduction, and pp. 1-22
Preston, S. H., P. Heuveline, et al. (2001). Demography : measuring and modeling population processes. Malden, MA, Blackwell Publishers.
Bashford, Alison. 2014. Global Population: History, Geopolitics, and Life on Earth (Cambridge: CUP)
McNeill, W. H. (1989). Plagues and peoples. New York, Anchor Books.
Petersen, William. 1964. The Politics of Population (London: Gollancz) –
Diamond, J. (1997). Guns, Germs, and Steel: the Fates of Human Societies. New York; London, W.W. Norton & Co.
Essay Question
· What are the main elements of demography, and how might they affect politics?
Webcast: launch of our book Political Demography, at the Wilson Center, Washington, January 2012
BBC. 2017. 'It's the Demography, Stupid,' January.
2. The 'Youth Bulge', Urbanisation and Violent Conflict in the Developing World
Required:
Urdal, H. (2012). "Youth Bulges and Violence". Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions J. A. Goldstone, E. Kaufmann and M. Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 117-132.
Huntington,
Clash of Civilizations
Willetts , D. 2003. 'Too Many Kids , ' Prospect , October - Lexis-Nexis
Recommended:
Urdal, H. (2006). "A clash of generations? Youth bulges and political violence." International Studies Quarterly 50(3): 607-629.
Madsen, E. L. (2012). "Age Structure and Development through a Policy Lens". Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions. J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 81-97.
Sommers, M. (2011). "Governance, Security and Culture: Assessing Africa's Youth Bulge." International Journal of Conflict and Violence 5(2): 293-303.
Ginges, J. (2005). "Youth bulges, civic knowledge, and political upheaval." Psychological Science 16(8): 659-660.
Hart, D., R. Atkins, et al. (2005). "Knowledge, youth bulges, and rebellion." Psychological Science 16(8): 661-662.
Sciubba, J. D. (2011). The future faces of war : population and national security. Santa Barbara, Calif., Praeger, ch. 2.
Brunborg, Helge, Ewa Tabeau and Henrik Urdal (eds.) 2006. The Demography of Armed Conflict (Dordrecht, London: Kluwer)
Weber, Hannes. "Age structure and political violence: a re-assessment of the “youth bulge” hypothesis." International Interactions 45, no. 1 (2019): 80-112.
Skeptics:
Urdal, H. and K. Hoelscher (2012). "Explaining Urban Social Disorder and Violence: An Empirical Study of Event Data from Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities." International Interactions 38(4): 512-528.
Bricker, N. Q. and M. C. Foley (2013). "The Effect of Youth Demographics on Violence: The Importance of the Labor Market." International Journal of Conflict and Violence 7(1): 180-194.
Urbanisation
Saunders, D. (2010). Arrival city : how the largest migration in history is reshaping our world. New York, Pantheon Books.
Buhaug, H. and H. Urdal (2013). "An urbanization bomb? Population growth and social disorder in cities." Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions 23(1): 1-10.
Urdal, H. and K. Hoelscher (2012). "Explaining Urban Social Disorder and Violence: An Empirical Study of Event Data from Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities." International Interactions 38(4): 512-528.
Gizewski, P., T. F. Homer-Dixon, et al. (1995). Urban growth and violence : will the future resemble the past? Washington, American Association for the Advancement of Science.
Essay Question
What is the relationship between youthful populations and violence in the developing world?
Webcast:
Henrik Urdal, 'Demography and Conflict: How Population Pressure and Youth Bulges Affect the Risk of Civil War,' Wilson Center, 2007
3. Population Pressure, Climate Change and Resource Conflicts in the Developing World
Required:
Kaplan, Robert. 1994. "The Coming Anarchy", The Atlantic Monthly
Matthew, R. (2012). " Demography, Climate Change, and Conflict". Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions. J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 133-148.
Goldstone, J., "Demography, Environment and Security: an overview" in Weiner, M. and S. S. R. (eds) (2001). Demography and National Security. New York, Berghahn Books, pp. 38-61
Recommended:
*Mach, Katherine J. et al. (2019). ‘Climate as a risk factor for armed conflict,’ Nature (571), pp. 193-7
Homer-Dixon, T. F. (1999). Environment, scarcity, and violence. Princeton, N.J. ; Oxford, Princeton University Press.
Homer-Dixon, T. F. and J. Blitt (1998). Ecoviolence : links among environment, population and security. Lanham, Md. ; Oxford, Rowman & Littlefield.
Urdal, H. (2008). "Population, resources, and political violence - A subnational study of India, 1956-2002." Journal of Conflict Resolution 52(4): 590-617.
Urdal, H. (ed)., Special issue on Climate Change and Conflict, Political Geography, Volume 26, Issue 6, August 2007, Pages 627–638.
Ostby, G., H. Urdal, et al. (2011). "Population Pressure, Horizontal Inequality and Political Violence: A Disaggregated Study of Indonesian Provinces, 1990-2003." Journal of Development Studies 47(3): 377-398.
Fearon, J. D. and D. D. Laitin (2011). "Sons of the Soil, Migrants, and Civil War." World Development 39(2): 199-211. earlier version
Dabelko, G. et. al. 2011. Navigating Peace Initiative: Water Conflict and Cooperation (Washington, DC: Wilson Center): http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/ECSPReport13_NavigatingPeace.pdf
Percival, V., T. F. Homer-Dixon, et al. (1995). Environmental scarcity and violent conflict : the case of Rwanda. Washington, American Association for the Advancement of Science.
Skeptics
Raleigh, C. and H. Urdal (2007). "Climate change, environmental degradation and armed conflict." Political Geography 26(6): 674-694.
Urdal, H. (2005). "People vs. Malthus: Population pressure, environmental degradation, and armed conflict revisited." Journal of Peace Research 42(4): 417-434.
Burke et.al. (2014) Climate and Conflict, NBER Working paper, October https://www.nber.org/papers/w20598
The Great Population-Resources Debate:
Rosling, Hans. 2010. Global population growth, box by box, (TedCannes) https://www.ted.com/talks/hans_rosling_on_global_population_growth
Mayhew, R. J. (2014). Malthus : the life and legacies of an untimely prophet. Cambridge, Harvard University Press.
Kaufmann, E. 2014. review of Mayhew, Malthus, Literary Review, June
Malthusians
Emmott, S. (2013). 10 billion. London, Penguin.
Weisman, A. (2013). Countdown : our last, best hope for a future on Earth? London and New York, Little, Brown.
Ehrlich, P. R. (1968). The population bomb. N.Y., Ballantine Books.
Cornucopians
Dorling, D. (2013). Population 10 billion. London, Constable.
Ridley, M. (2010). The rational optimist : how prosperity evolves. London, Fourth Estate.
Simon, J. L. (1992). Population and development in poor countries : selected essays. Princeton, Princeton University Press.
Pearce, F. (2011). Peoplequake : mass migration, ageing nations and the coming population crash. London, Eden Project.
Wattenberg, B. (2004). Fewer: How the New Demography of Depopulation will Shape our Future. Chicago, Ivan R. Dee.
Bricker, D. and John Ibbitson. (2019). Empty Planet (London: Robinson)
Longman, P. (2004). The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birthrates Threaten World Prosperity and What to do About it. New York, N.Y, Basic Books.
Essay Question
· How does population growth and climate change affect violent conflict in the developing world?
Webcasts:
Population Growth, Environmental Degradation, and State-Sponsored Violence: The Case of Kenya, 1991-93, Wilson Center, 2000
Civil Strife in the Developing World: New Insights on Connections Among Environment, Demography, and Conflict, Wilson Center, May 2, 2006
Economic, Political Factors Increase Conflict Risk More Than Environmental, Demographic Ones, Argue Experts, Wilson Center, 2009
4. Population Aging, World Population Shifts and the Global Balance of Power
Required:
Howe, N. and R. Jackson (2012). "Demography and Geopolitics: Understanding Today's Debate in its Historical and Intellectual Context". Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions. J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 31-48.
Haas, M. (2012). "America’s Golden Years?:U.S. Security in an Aging World". Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions. J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 49-62.
Sciubba, J. D. (2012). "A New Framework for Aging and Security: Lessons from Power Transition Theory". Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions J. A. Goldstone, E. Kaufmann and M. Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 63-80.
Recommended:
*Brooks, Deborah Jordan, Stephen G. Brooks, Brian D. Greenhill, and Mark L. Haas. "The Demographic Transition Theory of War: Why Young Societies Are Conflict Prone and Old Societies Are the Most Peaceful." International Security 43, no. 3 (2019): 53-95.
Haas, M. L. (2007). "A geriatric peace? The future of US power in a world of aging populations." International Security 32(1): 112-+.
Jackson, R., N. Howe, et al. (2008). The graying of the great powers : demography and geopolitics in the 21st century. Washington, D.C., Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Sciubba, J. D. (2011). The future faces of war : population and national security. Santa Barbara, Calif., Praeger.
Goldstone, J. (2007). Flash points and tipping points: Security Implications of Global Population Changes, 2005-2025. Woodrow Wilson Center, Washington, DC. http://www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/flash-points-and-tipping-points-security-implications-global-population-changes. (also see video)
Morland, P. 2019. The Human Tide: How Population Shaped the Modern World (London: John Murray)
Demeny, P. and G. McNicholl. 2006. (eds.) The Political Economy of Global Population Change, special supplement to vol. 32, Population and Development Review, esp. ch. 1
Goldstone, J., H, Root and M. Marshall. 2013. 'The Impact of Global Demographic Changes on the International Security Environment,' US Institute of Peace International Security Series, Chester A. Crocker, Fen Osler Hampson, and Pamela Aall, eds., GMU School of Public Policy Research Paper No. 2009-07. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID2289363_code654567.pdf?abstractid=1449145&mirid=3
Krebs, R. and J. Levy (2001). "Demographic Change and the Sources of International Conflict". New York, Berghahn Books., pp. 62-108
Morland, Paul. 2014. Demographic Engineering: Population Strategies in Ethnic Conflict (Basingstoke: Palgrave-MacMillan), ch. 1
NIC. 2013. Global Trends 2030 (Washington, DC; National Intelligence Council), ch. 3
Wattenberg, B. (2004). Fewer: How the New Demography of Depopulation will Shape our Future. Chicago, Ivan R. Dee.
Longman, P. (2004). The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birthrates Threaten World Prosperity and What to do About it. New York, N.Y, Basic Books.
Essay Question
· How important is population aging for the global balance of power in the twenty-first century?
Webcast:
Neil Howe, Richard Jackson, Jennifer Dabbs Sciubba, Book Discussion: The Graying of the Great Powers: Demography and Geopolitics in the 21st Century, Wilson Center, 2007
Jennifer Dabbs Sciubba, Book Launch: The Future Faces of War: Population and National Security, Wilson Center, 2011
Jack Goldstone, Flash Points and Tipping Points: Security Implications of Global Population Changes, 2005-2025, Wilson Center, 2007
5. The Piketty Thesis: Population Stagnation and the Politics of Inequality
Required:
Piketty, Thomas. 2014. Capital in the Twenty-First Century (Harvard University Press), pp. 72-84, 146-54, 164-71, 385-411
Summers, L. 2014. ‘The Inequality Puzzle’, Democracy, Issue #33 (Summer)
Recommended:
Piketty, Thomas. 2014. Capital in the Twenty-First Century (Harvard University Press)
Critics
Smith, N. 2015. ‘Piketty’s Three Big Mistakes,’ (interview with Matt Rognlie), March 27, Bloomberg.
Goodhart, C., Pratyancha Pardeshi, Manoj Pradhan. 2015. 'Workers vs pensioners: the battle of our time,' Prospect, November 12
Evans-Pritchard, A. 2015. 'Deflation Supercycle is over as world runs out of workers,' Telegraph, 24 September
Rognlie, M. 2014. ‘A note on Piketty and diminishing returns to capital,’ esp. pp 1-3, 16-18, 23 plus figures at the end
Capital in the Twenty-First Century Wikipedia entry (for summary of critiques)
Supporters
Krugman, P. 2014. ‘Is Piketty All Wrong?’, May 24, New York Times
Roberts, M. 2015. ‘Piketty update: graduate takes on a super star and comes up with a comforting conclusion’
6. Demographic and Democratic Transitions
Required:
Cincotta, R. and J. Doces (2012). "The Age-structural Maturity Thesis: The Youth Bulge’s Influence on the Advent and Stability of Liberal Democracy?" in Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions , J. A. Goldstone, E. Kaufmann and M. Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press.
Recommended:
Weber, H. (2013). "Demography and democracy: the impact of youth cohort size on democratic stability in the world." Democratization 20(2): 335-357.
Nordas, R. and C. Davenport (2013). "Fight the Youth: Youth Bulges and State Repression." American Journal of Political Science 57(4): 926-940.
Wilson, Ben, and Tim Dyson. "Democracy and the demographic transition." Democratization 24, no. 4 (2017): 594-612.
Brooks, Deborah et al. (2019) “The Demographic Transition Theory of War”, International Security, February, pp. 53-95
Goldstone, J. A. (1991). Revolution and rebellion in the early modern world. Berkeley, University of California Press.
Essay Question
· Does a demographic transition automatically lead to a democratic transition?
Webcasts:
Richard Cincotta, Tunisia Predicted: Demography and the Probability of Liberal Democracy in the Greater Middle East, Wilson Center, 2011
Richard Cincotta, The Security Demographic: Assessing the Evidence, Wilson Center, 2006 (see Cincotta section)
7. Nationalism and Demographic Engineering
Required:
Morland, Paul. 2014. Demographic Engineering: Population Strategies in Ethnic Conflict (Basingstoke: Palgrave-MacMillan), ch. 2 (right-click, sign in with ITS password, then when e-book comes up, click as indicated below)
Recommended:
*Cote, Isabelle et. al. (2019). "People Changing Places: new perspectives on demography, migration, conflict and the sate (New York, NY: Routledge), esp. chs 1,2 (Africa),10 (UK/N America),11.
McNamee, Lachlan, and Anna Zhang. "Demographic Engineering and International Conflict: Evidence from China and the Former USSR." International Organization 73, no. 2 (2019): 291-327.
Bookman, M. Z. (1997). The demographic struggle for power : the political economy of demographic engineering in the modern world. London ; Portland, OR, Frank Cass.
McGarry, J. and B. O. L. (eds) (1993). The Politics of Ethnic Conflict Regulation. New York & London, Routledge, ch. 1
Weiner, M. and S. S. R. (eds) (2001). Demography and National Security. New York, Berghahn Books., chs 7-10
Himmelfarb, Milton and Victor Baras (eds). 1978. Zero Population Growth-For Whom?: differential fertility and minority group survival (Westport, CT: Praeger) –
Kanaaneh, R.A. 2002. Birthing the Nation: strategies of Palestinian women in Israel (Berkeley: University of California Press) –
Anson, J and A. Meir. 1996. 'Religiosity, Nationalism and Fertility in Israel, European Journal of Population,' Vol.12, No.1, pp.1-25 – [JNIS]
Adsera, A. (2012). Fertility, Feminism and Faith: The Influence of Secularism and Economic Conditions Whither the child? : causes and consequences of low fertility. in E. P. Kaufmann and W. B. Wilcox. Boulder, CO, Paradigm Press.
Cincotta, R. (2011). "Africa's Reluctant Fertility Transition." Current History 110(736): 184-190.
Essay Question
· What are the main forms of demographic engineering, and the key dimensions on which they differ. Answer with respect to several case studies.
8. Ethno-Demographic Shifts and Conflict
Required:
Kaufmann, E. (2011). "The Demography of Ethnic Conflict." Journal of Ethnopolitics 10(3-4): 367-368.
Green, Elliott. 2012. 'Demographic Change and Conflict in Contemporary Africa', in Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions, edited by J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press. 238-251
Nordas, R. (2012). 'The Devil in the Demography? Religion, Identity and War in Cote D'Ivoire. Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions. J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 252-267.
Podcast: Me in a tie (!) speaking at the launch of our book Political Demography, at the Wilson Center, Washington, January 2012: http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/political-demography-identity-institutions-and-conflict-book-launch (click on webcast 2, from 35:40 minutes, to hear my talk on the political demography of ethnicity, religion and nationalism). You may also wish to check out some of the other speakers, especially Jack Goldstone in webcast 1.
Recommended:
*Wimmer, A. (2008). "The making and unmaking of ethnic boundaries: A multilevel process theory." American Journal of Sociology 113(4): 970-1022.
*Kaufmann, E. (2011). "Demographic Change and Conflict in Northern Ireland: Reconciling Qualitative and Quantitative Evidence." Journal of Ethnopolitics 10(3-4): 369-89.
Horowitz,
Donald L. 1985. Ethnic Groups in Conflict (Berkeley: University of California
Press, 1985), pp. 175-181 ('the fear of extinction'); 194-196 ('winning the
census'); 262-265 ('When paths cross') -
305.8 HOR – [PC]
*Toft
Alba, R. D. and V. Nee (2003). Remaking the American mainstream : assimilation and contemporary immigration. Cambridge, Mass. ; England, Harvard University Press.
Alba, R. D. (2009). Blurring the color line : the new chance for a more integrated America. Cambridge, Mass. ; London, Harvard University Press.
Fearon, J. D. and D. D. Laitin (2011). "Sons of the Soil, Migrants, and Civil War." World Development 39(2): 199-211.earlier version
Ozkirimli, U. (2010). Theories of Nationalism: A Critical Introduction (2nd Ed.). Basingstoke, Macmillan.
McNeill, W. (1986). Polyethnicity and National Unity in World History. Toronto, University of Toronto Press.
Lynch, G. 2011. 'The wars of who belongs where: the unstable politics of autochthony on Kenya’s Mt Elgon', Journal of Ethnopolitics 10(3-4), pp 391-410
Doherty, Paul. 1996. 'The Numbers Game: the demographic context of politics,' in A. Aughey and D. Morrow (eds.), Northern Ireland Politics (London, Longman), pp. 199-209 - 320.941609 NOR
Conversi, Daniele. 1997. 'Nationalism and immigration', in The Basques, the Catalans, and Spain: Alternative Routes to Nationalist Mobilization (London: Hurst), ch. 8 - 320.540946 CON
Essay Question
· Do shifts in the ethnic composition of a nation lead to ethnic conflict? Answer with respect to nationalism theory and several cases.
9. Dominant Ethnicity and the 'Ethnic-Civic' Typology of National Identity
Required:
Recommended:
*Kohn
*Plamenatz
*Brubaker
*Yack
Alter
Shulman
Nielsen
Hewitson
Roshwald,
Aviel. 2006. The Endurance of Nationalism:
Ancient Roots and Modern Dilemmas (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press),
ch. 5
Meadwell, H. 1988. 'Cultural and Instrumental Approaches to Ethnic Nationalism,' Ethnic and Racial Studies, vol.12. - CE Library - I33 & Reference
*Hjerm
Ignatieff
Smith
Wiborg
Behr
Bauman
Schöpflin, George. 2000. Nations, identity, power : the new politics of Europe (London: Hurst) - 320.54094 SCH
Kaufmann, E. P. 2002. "Modern Formation, Ethnic Reformation: The Social Sources of the American Nation," Geopolitics, vol. 7, no. 2 (Autumn 2002), pp. 99-120
Kaufmann
Kaufmann
Essay Question
· Assess the usefulness of the 'ethnic-civic' typology for the study of national identity.
10. Immigration and National Identity in the United States, from the Know Nothings to Trump
Required:
Gratton, B. (2012). 'Demography and Immigration Restriction in United States History '. Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions. J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. Oxford, Oxford University Press: 159-175.
Beauchamp, Zack. 2016. 'These 2 charts explain how racism helped fuel Trump’s victory,' Vox, November 10
Silver, Nate. 2016. 'Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For Trump,' Five Thirty-Eight.com, Nov 22
Kaufmann, Eric. 2016. 'Why it's again NOT the economy, stupid,' LSE British Politics blog (also New Statesman and Fabian Society and Birkbeck Politics blogs), 9 November
Mazzucato, Mariana and Michael Jacobs. 2016. 'The Brexit-Trump Syndrome: it's the economy, stupid,' LSE British Politics blog, 21 November
Recommended:
Ipsos-Mori. 2016. 'It’s Nativism: Explaining the Drivers of Trump’s Popular Support,' 1 June
*Valentino, N. A. 2013. 'Immigration opposition among US Whites: General ethnocentrism or media priming of attitudes about Latinos?,' Political Psychology 34:2, pp. 149-166
*Walker, K. E. and H. Leitner. 2011. "The variegated landscape of local immigration policies in the United States." Urban Geography 32:2, pp. 156-178
Joppke, C. (2005). Selecting by origin : ethnic migration in the liberal state. Cambridge, Mass., Harvard University Press.
*Kaufmann, E. (2000). "'Ethnic or Civic Nation?: Theorizing the American Case." Canadian Review of Studies in Nationalism 27(1-2): 133-54.
*Kaufmann, E. (2004). The Rise and Fall of Anglo-America: The Decline of Dominant Ethnicity in the United States. Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press.
Higham, J. (1955). Strangers in the Land: Patterns of American Nativism, 1860-1925. New Brunswick, Rutgers University Press.
*Higham, J. (1999). Cultural Responses to Immigration. Diversity and its Discontents: Cultural Conflict and Common Ground in Contemporary American Society. N. J. Smelser and J. C. Alexander. Princeton, N.J., Princeton University Press: 39-62.
Kaufmann, E. (2004). "The Decline of the WASP in the United States and Canada" in Rethinking Ethnicity: Majority Groups and Dominant Minorities. E. Kaufmann. London, Routledge: 61-83.
Glazer, N. (1998) "American Epic." National Affairs 130,
Muller, T. (1997). Nativism in the Mid-1990s: Why Now? Immigrants Out!: The New Nativism and the Anti-Immigrant Impulse in the United States. J. F. Perea. New York, N.Y. & London, New York University Press: 105-18.
Fetzer, J. 2000. Public Attitudes toward Immigration in the United States, France, and Germany (Cambridge: University Press)
Citrin, J., D. P. Green, C. Muste, and C. Wong. 1997. "Public opinion toward immigration reform: The role of economic motivations." Journal of Politics 59 (3):858-81.
Texeira, R. (2008). Red, Blue, and Purple America: The Future of Election Demographics. Washington, DC, Brookings Institution Press, chs. 3-4
Immigration and the Ethnic-Civic Distinction
Citrin, J. and J. Sides (2008). "Immigration and the Imagined Community in Europe and the United States." Political Studies 56: 33-56.
Pehrson, S., Vignoles, V. L., & Brown, R. (2009). National identification and anti-immigrant prejudice: Individual and contextual effects of national definitions. Social Psychology Quarterly, 72, 24–38.
Wright, M. (2011). Diversity and the imagined community: Immigrant diversity and conceptions of national identity. Political Psychology, 32, 837–862.
Ceobanu, A. N., & Escandell, X. (2008). East is West? National feelings and anti-immigrant sentiment in Europe. Social Science Research, 37, 1147–1170
American Ethnonationalism
Brimelow, P. (1995). Alien Nation: Common Sense About America's Immigration Disaster. New York, Random House.
Buchanan, P. J. (2002). The death of the West : how dying populations and immigrant invasions imperil our country and civilization. New York, Thomas Dunne Books.
Kanstroom, D. (1997). Dangerous Undertones of the New Nativism: Peter Brimelow and the Decline of the West. Immigrants Out!: The New Nativism and the Anti-Immigrant Impulse in the United States. J. F. Perea. New York, N.Y. & London, New York University Press: 300-17.
Swain, C. M. (2002). The new white nationalism in America : its challenge to integration. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.
Swain, C. M. and R. Nieli (2003). Contemporary voices of white nationalism in America. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.
Essay Question
· 'The United States can accept larger numbers of immigrants than Europe because America is a civic nation while European nations are ethnic.' Discuss.
Podcast:
Birkbeck ‘Europe’s migration crisis and the Populist Response’ event, 23 November, 2015, Wolfson Suite, London, University of London podcast (feat. David Goodhart, Chris Bertram, Daphne Halikiopoulou, Mathew Goodwin and myself)
11. Immigration and the Rise of the Far Right
Required:
Hainmueller, P. and D. Hopkins. 2014. 'Public Attitudes to Immigration,' Annual Review of Political Science
*Mudde, C. (2017). The Populist Radical Right: a reader (Routledge)
Marzouki, N., D. McDonnell and Oliver Roy. 2016. Saving the people : how populists hijack religion (London: Hirst)
Mudde, C. (2007). Populist radical right parties in Europe. Cambridge, UK ; New York, Cambridge University Press.
Werts, H., P. Scheepers, et al. (2013). "Euro-scepticism and radical right-wing voting in Europe, 2002-2008: Social cleavages, socio-political attitudes and contextual characteristics determining voting for the radical right." European Union Politics 14(2): 183-205.
Lucassen, G. and M. Lubbers (2012). "Who Fears What? Explaining Far-Right-Wing Preference in Europe by Distinguishing Perceived Cultural and Economic Ethnic Threats." Comparative Political Studies 45(5): 547-574.
*Hainsworth, P. (ed). 2000. The Politics of the Extreme Right (London and New York: Pinter)
*Norris, Pippa. 2005. Radical Right: Voters and Parties in the Electoral Market (New York/Cambridge: Cambridge University Press), esp. ch 8: http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/pnorris/Books/Radical%20Right.htm
Kitschelt, Herbert. 1996. The Radical Right in Western Europe: A Comparative Analysis (Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press) - 324.24038 KIT
*Ignazi, P. 2003. Extreme Right Parties in Western Europe (Oxford: Oxford University Press) –
Grunberg, G. and E. Schweisguth. 2003. 'French Political Space: two, three or four blocs?,' French Politics, Vol.1, No.3, pp.331-348 –
Karapin, Roger. 2002. ‘Far Right Parties and the Construction of Immigration Issues in Germany’ in Martin Schain, Aristide Zolberg, and Patrick Hossay (eds.), Shadows Over Europe: The Development and Impact of the Extreme Right in Western Europe (Houndsmills: Palgrave Macmillan)
DeAngelis, R.A. 2003. ‘A rising tide for Jean-Marie, Jorg, and Pauline? Xenophobic Populism in Comparative Perspective.’ Australian Journal of Politics and History 49 (1): 75-92
Atkin, N. and F. Tallatt. 2002. The Right in France: Nationalism and the State (London: Tauris) –
Brinks, J. and D. Binder. 2000. Children of a New Fatherland: Germany's Post-War Right-Wing Politics (London: St. Martin's) –
Arnold, Edward J. (ed). 2000. The Development of the Radical Right in France: From Boulanger to Le Pen (New York: St. Martin's) –
Swyngedouw, M. and G. Ivaldi. 2001. 'The extreme Right Utopia in Belgium and France: the ideology of the Flemish Vlaams Blok and the French Front national,' West European Politics, Vol.24, No.3, pp.1-22 –
Amin, A . 2003. ' Unruly strangers? The 2001 urban riots in Britain,' International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Vol.27, No.2, pp.460-463
Mayer, N. 2003. 'Le Pen's Comeback: the 2002 French presidential election,' International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Vol.27, No.2, pp.455-459
Essay Question
· Is there a rise in Far Right politics in the West today? Why or why not.
12. From UKIP to Brexit: Hostility to Immigration in the UK
Required:
Clarke, H. D., et al. (2017). Brexit: Why Britain Voted to Leave the European Union, Cambridge University Press, ch. 7
Kaufmann, E. 2016. 'It’s NOT the economy, stupid: Brexit as a story of personal values,' LSE British Politics blog (also Fabian Society and Birkbeck Politics blogs), 7 July
Mazzucato, Mariana and Michael Jacobs. 2016. 'The Brexit-Trump Syndrome: it's the economy, stupid,' LSE British Politics blog, 21 November
Kaufmann, Eric. 2016. 'Why it's again NOT the economy, stupid,' LSE British Politics blog (also New Statesman and Fabian Society and Birkbeck Politics blogs), 9 November
Recommended:
*Goodwin, M. and Oliver Heath. 2016. 'The 2016 Referendum, Brexit and the Left Behind: An Aggregate-level Analysis of the Result,' Political Quarterly, Volume 87, Issue 3, pages 323–332, July–September 2016
*Evans, G. and J. Mellon. 2015. 'Working class votes and Conservative losses: solving the UKIP puzzle,' LSE British Politics blog, 30 April
*Ford, R. and Matthew Goodwin. 2015. 'Different Class? UKIP’s Social Base and Political Impact: A Reply to Evans and Mellon,' Parliamentary Affairs (2015) 69 (2): 480-491
*Evans, G. and J. Mellon. 2015. 'Class, Electoral Geography and the Future of UKIP: Labour’s Secret Weapon?,' Parliamentary Affairs (2015) 69 (2): 492-498
*Kaufmann, E. and Harris, G. 2014. Changing Places: the White British Response to Ethnic Change, Demos report, 29 September
*Clarke, H., M. Goodwin and P. Whiteley. 2016. 'Why Britain Voted for Brexit: An Individual-Level Analysis of the 2016 Referendum Vote,' paper for Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (ePoP) conference
Kaufmann, E. and G. Harris. 2015. ' "White Flight" or Positive Contact?: Local Diversity and Attitudes to Immigration in Britain, 2009-11,' Comparative Political Studies (open access)
Harris G, ‘The rise and fall of the British National Party: the demand for extreme right politics in the UK’, unpublished PhD dissertation, Department of Politics, Birkbeck College, University of London, 2012.
Ford R and Goodwin M, Revolt on the Right: Explaining support for the radical right in Britain, London: Routledge, 2014.
Ford, R., and M. J. Goodwin. 2010. "Angry White Men: Individual and Contextual Predictors of Support for the British National Party." Political Studies 58 (1):1-25.
Biggs, M., and S. Knauss. 2012. "Explaining Membership in the British National Party: A Multilevel Analysis of Contact and Threat." European Sociological Review 28 (5):633-46.
Bowyer, B. 2008. "Local context and extreme right support in England: The British National Party in the 2002 and 2003 local elections." Electoral Studies 27 (4):611-20.
Goodwin, M. (2011). New British fascism : rise of the British National Party. Abingdon ; New York, Routledge.
Collier, Paul. 2013. Exodus (london: Allen Lane)
Caldwell, C. (2009). Reflections on the revolution in Europe : immigration, Islam, and the West. New York, Doubleday.
Schlueter, Elmar, and Peer Scheepers. 2010. "The relationship between outgroup size and anti-outgroup attitudes: A theoretical synthesis and empirical test of group threat- and intergroup contact theory." Social Science Research 39 (2):285-95.
Pettigrew, T. F., and L. R. Tropp. 2006. "A meta-analytic test of intergroup contact theory." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 90 (5):751-83.
Goodhart D, ‘Blue Labour’, Analysis, 27 Mar 2011, www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b00zlgdl (accessed 22 Jun 2014).
Essay Question
· How important are ethno-demographic factors in accounting for the rise of UKIP and Brexit?
13. Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: The Demography of Religion and Fundamentalism
Required:
Kaufmann, Eric. 2010. Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth (London: Profile)
Also see reviews of the book at: http://www.sneps.net/
Podcasts
Eric Kaufmann, 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth', RSA, April 15, 2010 (youtube)
George Miller (Blackwell), Interview with Eric Kaufmann on the book, 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth'
E. Kaufmann interview with John Cleary on Australian Broadcasting Corporation ‘Sunday
Nights’ on the book
Recommended:
*Kaufmann, Eric. 2010. Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth (London: Profile)
Toft, Monica. 2012. 'Wombfare' in Goldstone et. al, Political Demography, ch. 14
*Kaufmann, Eric. 2010. Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth (London: Profile)
*Wise, Yaacov. 2007. "Majority of Jews will be Ultra-Orthodox by 2050". University of Manchester press release, 23 July.
Heilman, Samuel C. 1995. The Religious Battle for Israel. Christian Century, December 20.
*Efron, Noah J. 2003. Real Jews : secular versus ultra-orthodox and the struggle for Jewish identity in Israel. New York: Basic Books.
*Joyce, Kathryn. 2009. Quiverfull : inside the Christian patriarchy movement. Boston: Beacon Press.
*Goldberg, Michelle. 2009. The means of reproduction : sex, power, population and the future of the world. New York: Penguin Press.
Riddell, K. 2009. Islam and the Securitisation of Population Policies: Muslim States and Sustainability (London: Ashgate)
Norris, Pippa and Ron Inglehart. 2005. Sacred and Secular: Religion and Politics Worldwide (Cambridge: CUP)
Stark, Rodney, and Reid Larkin Neilson. 2005. The rise of Mormonism. New York: Columbia University Press.
Kraybill, Donald B., and Carl Desportes Bowman. 2001. On the backroad to heaven : Old Order Hutterites, Mennonites, Amish, and Brethren, Center books in Anabaptist studies. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
*Stark, Rodney. 1996. The rise of Christianity : a sociologist reconsiders history. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
Ben David. 2013. Israel: State of the Nation Report 2013, esp sections on impact of ultra-Orthodox on economy: http://taubcenter.org.il/index.php/featured-publication/state-of-the-nation-2013/lang/en/
*Jones, G. and M. Karim. Islam, the State and Population (London: Hurst)
Winckler, Onn. 2005. Arab political demography Sussex studies in demographic developments and socioeconomic policies in the Middle East and North Africa. Brighton, England ; Portland, Or.: Sussex Academic Press., esp last chapter.
Della Pergola, Sergio. 2001. Jerusalem’s Population, 1995–2020: Demography, Multiculturalism and Urban Policies. European Journal of Population 17:165-199.
*Berman, E. 2000. Sect, subsidy, and sacrifice: an economist’s view of ultra-orthodox Jews. Quarterly Journal of Economics 115 (3):905-953.
Berman, Eli, and A. Stepanyan. 2003. Fertility and Education in Radical Islamic Sects: Evidence from Asia and Africa. NBER working paper
Weiner, Myron and Sharon Stanton Russell (eds). 2001. Demography and National Security (New York: Berghahn Books), esp. ch. 12 (Islam & West) and conclusion
Hout, M. and Claude Fischer. 2002. 'Why More Americans Have No Religious Preference: Politics and Generations,' American Sociological Review, vol. 67, no. 2 (April), pp. 165-90 - [e journals]
Religiosity and Fertility
*Westoff, C. F., and T. Frejka. 2007. Religiousness and fertility among European Muslims. Population and Development Review 33 (4):785-809.
*Frejka, T., and C. F. Westoff. 2008. Religion, religiousness and fertility in the US and in Europe. European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie 24 (1):5-31.
Berghammer, C. 2009. Causality between Religiosity and Childbearing: Evidence from a Dutch Panel Study. In IUSSP Conference Paper.
Berghammer, C, D. Philipov, and T. Sobotka. 2006. Religiosity and demographic events: a comparative study of European countries. In paper delivered at European Population Conference (EPC), Liverpool, 2006.
Adsera, A. 2005. Religion and Changes in Family-size Norms in Developed Countries, IZA (University of Chicago: Population Research Center), presented at 2005 APSA meetings - available electronically
Adsera, A. 2005. ‘Marital Fertility and Religion: Recent Changes in Spain,’ IZA Discussion Paper 1399 (University of Chicago: Population Research Center)
Sander, W. 1992. ‘Catholicism and the Economics of Fertility,’ Population Studies 46, p.477-489.
Simons, John. 1980. ‘Reproductive behaviour as religious practice’, in C. Hohn and R. Mackensen (eds.), Determinants of Fertility Trends: Theories Re-Examined (Liège: Ordina), pp. 133-45
Williams, L.B. and B.G. Zimmer. 1990. ‘The Changing Influence of Religion on US Fertility: Evidence from Rhode Island,’ Demography 27 (3): 475-481.
SDT theory
Lesthaeghe, R. 2007. Second Demographic Transition. In Encyclopedia of Sociology, edited by G. Ritzer. Oxford: Blackwell.
Lesthaeghe, R., and L. Neidert. 2006. The Second Demographic Transition in the United States:. Exception or Textbook Example? Population and Development Review 32 (4):669-698.
van de Kaa, Dirk. 2001. ‘Postmodern fertility preferences: from changing value orientation to new fertility behaviour,’ Population and Development Review, vol. 27, pp. 290-331
Lesthaeghe, R. and J. Surkyn. 1988. ‘Cultural Dynamics and Economic Theories of Fertility Change,’Population and Development Review 14 (1): 1-45.
Essay Question
· 'Religious fundamentalism will defeat secularism because the devout have more kids.' Discuss.
14. Terrorism, Lobbying and Multiculturalism: Diasporas in International Politics
Required:
Huntington
Recommended
*Shain
*Esman, Milton. 2005. An Introduction to Ethnic Conflict (Cambridge: Polity), chapters on role of outsider governments and diasporas
*Gal, Allon, Athena Leoussi and Anthony Smith (ed) 2010. Call of the Homeland: Diaspora nationalisms, Past and Present (Biggleswade: Brill)
*Conversi, Daniele. 2012. 'Irresponsible radicalisation: diasporas, globalisation and long-distance nationalism in the digital age.' Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 38 (9). pp. 1357-1379
Lake, David and Donald Rothchild (eds.).1998. The International Spread of Ethnic Conflict: Fear, Diffusion and Escalation (Princeton: Princeton University Press), esp. introduction
Davis, D.R., Moore, W.H. 1997. Ethnicity Matters: transnational ethnic alliances and foreign policy behavior, International Studies Quarterly, Mar 1997, Vol.41, No.1, pp.171- 184
King, C. and N.J. Melvin. 2000. 'Diaspora Politics: ethnic linkages, foreign policy, and security in Eurasia', International security, Winter 1999-2000, Vol.24, No.3, pp.108- 138
Safran
Safran, William. 2006. 'The Jewish Diaspora in a Comparative and Theoretical Perspective', Israel Studies, Volume 10, Number 1, Spring 2006, pp. 36-60
*Stephen M. Saideman, The Ties That Divide: Ethnic Politics, Foreign Policy, and International Conflict, New York: Columbia University Press, 2001.
Abuza, Z. 2002. 'Tentacles of terror: Al Qaeda's Southeast Asian network,' Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol.24, No.3, pp.427-465
Paul, R.A. 2000. 'Grassroots Mobilization and Diaspora Politics: Armenian interest groups and the role of collective memory,' Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, Vol.6, No.1, pp.24-47
Wilson, Ernest J. (ed.) 2004. Diversity and US Foreign Policy: A Reader (New York: Routledge)
Kurien, P. 2005. 'Multiculturalism, Immigrant Religion, and Diasporic Nationalism: The development of an American Hinduism,' Social Problems, 51 (3): 362-385
*Huntington, S. 2005. Who Are We? The Cultural Core of American National Identity (New York & London: Simon and Schuster), ch. 10 ('Merging America With the World') - esp. section on diasporas
*Shain, Yossi. 1999. Marketing the American Creed Abroad: Diasporas in the U.S. and Their Homeland (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press)
*Smith, T. 2000. Foreign Attachments : the Power of Ethnic Groups in the Making of American Foreign Policy (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press)
Goldberg, J. 1996. Jewish Power: Inside the American Jewish Establishment (Reading, Mass.; Harlow: Addison-Wesley)
*O' Day, A. 1999. 'Irish Diaspora Politics in Perspective: the United Irish leagues of Great Britain and America, 1900-14,' Immigrants and Minorities, Vol.18, No.2-3, pp.214- 239
Østergaard-Nielsen, E. 2003. 'The Democratic Deficit of Diaspora Politics: Turkish Cypriots in Britain and the Cyprus issue,' Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, July, Vol.29, No.4, pp.683-700
Pryke, S. 2003. 'British Serbs and Long Distance Nationalism,' Ethnic and Racial Studies, Vol.26, No.1, pp.152-172
Huntington, S.P. 1997. 'The Erosion of American National Interests,' Foreign Affairs, 76 (5): 28-& SEP-OCT
Sandler, S. 2005. 'Towards a Conceptual Framework of World Jewish Politics: state, nation, and diaspora in a Jewish foreign policy', Israel Affairs, Autumn-Winter 2005, Vol.10, No.1-2, pp.301-312
De los Angeles Torres, M. 1995. 'Encuentros Y Encontronazos: homeland in the politics and identity of the Cuban diaspora,' Diaspora, Fall 1995, Vol.4, No.2, pp.211-238
Dickson, D.A. 1996. 'American society and the African American foreign policy lobby: constraints and opportunities,' Journal of Black Studies, Nov 1996, Vol.27, No.2, pp.139-151
Hertzberg, A. 1996. 'Israel and the Diaspora: a relationship reexamined,' Israel Affairs, Vol.2, No.3-4, pp.169-183
Croucher, S. and P. Haney. 1999. Review of Shain, Y. 'Marketing the American Creed Abroad', Diaspora, Winter 1999, Vol.8, No.3, pp.309-330
Chua, Amy. 2002. World on Fire: How Exporting Free Market Democracy Breeds Ethnic Hatred and Global Instability (New York: Doubleday) –
Kotkin, Joel. 1993. Tribes: How Race, Religion and Identity Determine Success in the New Global Economy (New York: Random House).
Essay Question
· Do diasporas strengthen or weaken nationalism?
15. Conclusion and Review