White Flight

Extra Tables for Kaufmann and Harris paper

 

 Model Predicting Move Away from Diverse Ward toward White Ward (interward movers only)

 

                                                                                                    B                            S.E.

Population density 2011 (ward)

.946***

.006

Carstairs deprivation index 2011 (ward)

-.097***

.005

White British x 2001 ward diversity

-.015

.032

Move to/from London 2001-11

-.791***

.017

Distance moved 2001-11 (km)

.002***

.000

White British

1.035***

.032

White British in mixed ethnic household

-.380***

.039

Mixed ethnic household

.121***

.029

Minority x English

.176***

.047

English identity

.007

.012

Age

.003***

.001

Aged twenties

.215***

.042

White British x aged twenties

-.444***

.043

Renter, ref: owner

-.309***

.015

Social housing tenant, ref: owner

-.228***

.019

Other tenant, ref: owner

-.243***

.053

Middle class, ref: professional/managerial

.057**

.017

Working class, ref: professional/managerial

.176***

.021

White x middle or working class

.137***

.017

_Iecacrc11_2, ref: employed

.007

.020

_Iecacrc11_3, ref: employed

.095**

.033

Student type 1, ref: employed

-.333***

.051

_Iecacrc11_5, ref: employed

.179***

.026

Student type 2, ref: employed

-.349***

.049

_Iecacrc11_7, ref: employed

-.002

.028

_Iecacrc11_8, ref: employed

.210***

.033

_Iecacrc11_9, ref: employed

-.035

.044

_Iecacrc11_10, ref: employed

-.292***

.062

Dependent children

.622***

.051

Married, ref: single

.220***

.016

Widower/Divorced, ref: single

.108***

.020

A level high school, ref: degree

.031

.021

GCSE high school, ref: degree

.022

.028

Grade school, ref: degree

-.014

.024

No qualifications, ref: degree

-.131***

.022

Diversity quintile 2001 (ward)

-1.279***

.008

Deprivation quintile 2 (2001), ref: least deprived

-.006

.018

Deprivation quintile 3 (2001) , ref: least deprived

.080***

.020

Deprivation quintile 4 (2001) , ref: least deprived

.140***

.023

Least Deprived quintile 2001, ref: most deprived

.126***

.026

Density quintile 2 (2001), ref: least dense

1.098***

.021

Density quintile 3 (2001) , ref: least dense

2.069***

.020

Density quintile 4 (2001) , ref: least dense

2.793***

.024

Densest quintile of ward 2001, ref: least dense

3.582***

.034

 

/cut1

-7.063

.060

/cut2

-5.295

.055

/cut3

-3.737

.053

/cut4

-2.101

.051

/cut5

.356

.051

/cut6

2.064

.052

/cut7

3.618

.053

/cut8

5.387

.057

 

Pseudo R2                                                                                                              .243

N                                                                                                                         115,504

 

NB: All variables at 2011 except where specified. White x English not significant, and cannot be run alongside minority x English thus not reported.

Source: Data are derived from the ONS Longitudinal Survey, 1991, 2001 and 2011 waves. This is a linked, restricted use, 1 percent sample of the census. Sample restricted to those who move wards only.

A consistent geography for 1991-2001-2011 at ward level, developed by Dr. Gemma Catney of the University of Liverpool, has been used which permits us to distinguish moves to/from diversity from in situ area change.

The permission of the Office for National Statistics to use the Longitudinal Study is gratefully acknowledged, as is the help provided by staff of the Centre for Longitudinal Study Information & User Support (CeLSIUS). CeLSIUS is supported by the ESRC Census of Population Programme (Award Ref: ES/K000365/1) clearance # 401003. The authors alone are responsible for the interpretation of the data.
Census output is Crown copyright and is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the Queen’s Printer for Scotland.
The results presented are based on a test version of the LS database incorporating 2011 Census data. Figures may be subject to change when the final version of this database is released in November 2013.

 

Website by Eric P Kaufmann