Population Aging, World Population Shifts and the Global Balance of Power

Required

Haas, Mark (2012). “America’s Golden Years? U.S. Security in an Aging World,” in Jack A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft, eds. Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics (Boulder: Paradigm).

Sciubba, Jennifer D. (2021). “Research in Population Aging: uncharted territory,” in J. Sciubba (eds), A Research Agenda for Political Demography (Edward Elgar), pp. 17-28

Jackson, Richard and Neil Howe (2012). “Demography and Geopolitics: Understanding Today’s Debate in its Historical and Intellectual Context,” in Jack A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft, eds. Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics (Boulder: Paradigm).

Recommended

Brooks, Deborah Jordan, Stephen G. Brooks, Brian D. Greenhill, and Mark L. Haas (2019). “The Demographic Transition Theory of War: Why Young Societies Are Conflict Prone and Old Societies Are the Most Peaceful.” International Security 43(3): 53-95.

Sciubba, Jennifer D. (2012). “A New Framework for Aging and Security: Lessons from Power Transition Theory,” in Jack A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft, eds. Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics (Boulder: Paradigm).

Goldstone, Jack A., Hilton L. Root and Monty G. Marshall (2013). “The Impact of Global Demographic Changes on the International Security Environment,” GMU School of Public Policy Research Paper No. 2009-07

Haas, Mark L. (2007). “A geriatric peace? The future of US power in a world of aging populations.” International Security 32(1): 112-147.

Jackson, Richard and Neil Howe (2008). The Graying of the Great Powers: Demography and Geopolitics in the 21st Century. (Washington, D.C., Center for Strategic and International Studies).

Kim, Tongfi, and Jennifer Dabbs Sciubba (2015). “The effect of age structure on the abrogation of military alliances.” International Interactions 41(2): 279-308.

Longman, Phillip (2004). The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birthrates Threaten World Prosperity and What to do About it (New York: Basic Books).

Sciubba, Jennifer D. (2011). The Future Faces of War: Population and National Security (Santa Barbara: Praeger).

Sciubba, Jennifer D. (2014). “Coffins versus cradles: Russian population, foreign policy, and power transition theory.” International Area Studies Review 17(2): 205-221.

Bricker, D. and Ibbitson, J., 2019. Empty planet: the shock of global population decline. Hachette UK.

Essay Question

  • How important is population aging for the global balance of power in the twenty-first century?

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