Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: The Demographic Contradictions of Liberal Capitalism

A Study in Religion, Demography and Politics

                                  

 

Dr. Eric P. Kaufmann, Birkbeck College, University of London, UK
   e.kaufmann@bbk.ac.uk
                                                                                         

 

 

Summary

This project argues that the population of the developed world will become increasingly religious and conservative in the long-term, reversing decades - even centuries - of liberal secularisation. There will be no mass conversions or sudden shifts in the cultural mood. Instead, religiosity will spread largely through demographic advantage in a world where secular religions and sources of secular enchantment have exhausted themselves.

Books

Findings available in a new book, Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth (London: Profile Books, 25 March 2010). Hear a podcast interview with George Miller of Blackwell's on the book. See a youtube video of Eric's talk at the RSA on 15 April 2010

Upcoming edited book: Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions, edited by J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. (Basingstoke and New York: Palgrave-MacMillan, 2010). Also in this book (with V. Skirbekk), "'Go Forth and Multiply': the Politics of Religious Demography".

Reviews of the Book

New Humanist (cover story by Caspar Melville), 'Battle of the Babies', March/April issue. Chosen as an 'article of note' in Arts and Letters Daily, early April.

15 March - Daily Telegraph (Ed West) - 'Atheism is doomed: the contraceptive Pill is secularism's cyanide tablet'

21 March - Sunday Times (Dominic Lawson), 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth'

22-28 March - Big Issue Scotland (cover story), 'God's Comeback'

31 March - London Metro (Robert Murphy), 'Shall The Religious Inherit The Earth?: Eric Kaufmann may have the answer'

4 April - Financial Times (John Lloyd), 'Abraham's Children on the March'

April - Literary Review (Douglas Murray), 'We're All Doomed'

4 April - Theos (Nick Spencer) - 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth'

9 April - Independent (Ziauddin Sardar) - 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth'

17 April - Toronto Globe and Mail (Doug Saunders) - 'Swamped by Religion'

18 April - Morning Star (Michael Boncza) - 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth'

 

Interviews, Podcasts, Articles of Mine, and Commentary on the Book

17 October 2009: 'Only an atheist can be a good Christian; only a Christian can be a good atheist', Debate on Ernst Bloch's Atheism in Christianity, Birkbeck Institute for the Humanities, London (podcasted event)

4 March 2010, 7pm Royal National Hotel, Bedford Way, London: Appearance at Jewish Book Week, on panel with Dominique Moisi and John Kampfner on panel on 'Threats to our Democracy'. Details at: http://www.jewishbookweek.com/2010/democracy-at-risk.php [podcast of debate here]

'Europe's Muslim Future', Eric Kaufmann, Prospect, April

Friendly Atheist (interview), Hemant Mehta, 19 March

'Rise of the Fundamentalists', Slugger O' Toole, 22 March

Mercator.net (interview), April

'Mormons: ‘We don’t want Bible bashers' (Alice Fishburn and Hattie Garlick), Sunday Times, 1 April

Belief.net (Rod Dreher) - 'The (very) Religious Shall Inherit the Earth', 2 April

Sunday Star Times (New Zealand) -

Kenan Malik.com, 'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth', 9 April

Media Appearances and Talks

Book Launch & reception: 25 March 2010, room 403, 6pm, Birkbeck College, Malet Street, London

28 March: BBC Radio Scotland (religious affairs programme)

29 March: BBC World Service, World Update, 11-12 AM

1 April, 11-12 am: Today Show with Pat Kenny, RTE (Ireland) Radio 1. Hear interview podcast.

7 April, 4-430 pm : Appearance on BBC Radio 4 'Thinking Allowed' with Tariq Ramadan and Rebecca Goldstein

12 April: BBC World Service 'Politics UK'. Debate with Lord Robert Skidelsky and Mehdi Hasan, political editor, New Statesman, on immigration in the UK and Europe

14 April, 4 pm: Afternoon Show with Sean Moncrieff, RTE Radio (Ireland)

15 April: Debate on the book with Dominic Lawson of The Sunday Times at RSA, London, 6 pm. Moderated by Laurie Taylor and co-sponsored by New Humanist magazine  Youtube clip of event

5 May - 630 pm - Reading Public Library

10 June - 8 pm - Iona Institute, Dublin

11 July - 11 am - South Place Ethical Society, Conway Hall, 25 Red Lion Square London

 

Recent

'Europe's Muslim Future', Eric Kaufmann, Prospect, April

10-13 March 2010: 'Sacralization by Stealth?: The Religious Consequences of Low Fertility in Europe', for conference on "Causes, Consequences & Responses to Low Fertility,” hosted by the Social Trends Institute, Barcelona

Working Papers, Media & Articles

Previous Events/Presentations

 

Media (Own Articles and Others' Coverage of My Research):

'A Nightmare for Richard Dawkins: statistics show that atheists are a dying breed', Ed West, Daily Telegraph (UK), 18 September 2009

'The Changing Face of Israel' (co-authored with R. Cincotta), Foreign Policy (web exclusive), June 2009

'The Global War for Souls', a review of John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge, 'God is Back', Prospect, June 2009

Anthony Gottlieb, 'Faith Equals Fertility', Intelligent Life (Economist), Winter 2008

Commentary on my November 2006 Prospect/Newsweek article, 'Breeding for God' at Richard Dawkins.net (2008)

Review of Philip Jenkins' God's Continent, Prospect, November 2007

'Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth', Jewish Quarterly, Autumn 2007

Ross Douthat, 'The Crisis of Faith', Atlantic Monthly, July/August 2007

'Faith's Comeback', Newsweek, 7-13 November 2006

'Breeding for God', Prospect, November 2006 issue  

'Shifting Demography', BBC Radio 4 'Thinking Allowed', 4 October 2006

 

Project Notes

Former ESRC-Funded Project within Understanding Population Trends and Processes: A Secondary Data Analysis Initiative (UPTAP) Programme, 2005-6. Link to Original UPTAP programme specification

Read full summary     Read/ Download Full Proposal

Formerly a component of the Initiative on Religion in International Affairs , Belfer Center for Science in International Affairs, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 2008-9

 

Resources:

Eric Kaufmann's Political Demography Resource

Reading List of Relevant Articles

Channel 4 film: The Battle for Israel's Soul

film: Demographic Winter: the decline of the human family

 

Links:

Michael Blume's website on religion and reproduction

Evolutionary Religious Studies (David Sloan Wilson's site)

Evolution of Religion (Richard Sosis' site)

Sci-Log: the Biology of Religion

Philip Longman's website

Institute for Studies of Religion (ISR) at Baylor University

Richard Dawkins.net

 

 

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