Eric Kaufmann

Eric Kaufmann

Eric is working on a new book entitled Whiteshift: immigration, populism and the myth of majority decline for Penguin (2018).

The book argues that the current upsurge of right-wing populism in the West stems from unresolved questions about the future of ethnic majorities in an age of large-scale migration. Based on extensive survey, demographic and electoral data, it sets out four main white responses to ethnic change: fight, flee, repress and join. It explores where white majorities are heading, and why we need to address the ‘who are we?’ and ‘where are we going?’ questions which high-identifying members of white majorities are asking if we hope to avert deeper divisions – even terrorism – within western societies.

Background

Eric recently completed an ESRC project, Diversity and the White Working Class in England. The project involved a partnership with the think tank Demos, and its Politics of Demography project. Work on related concerns continues as part of the Demography, Integration and Immigration group at the think tank Policy Exchange. Research uses quantitative data and some focus group work to examine value-based polarization among white ethnic majorities in response to rising diversity. The argument is that ethnic majorities are responding to increasing diversity though a) ‘exit’, i.e. withdrawing through white flight or avoidance, or social network isolation; b) ‘voice’ – opposition to immigration and voting for anti-immigration parties; or c) ‘accommodation’ – increased intermarriage, habituation to change and residential mixing.

Eric’s recent books have focused on political demography – the politics of population change. He  has a continuing interest in national identity and questions of dominant-group ethnic identity, as well as religious fundamentalism. His most recent trade press book, Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth argued that the more religious people are, regardless of income, faith tradition or education, the more children they have. Religious countries have faster population growth than secular ones which is why immigrants are typically much more religious than their secular host societies. The cumulative effect of immigration and religious fertility is to slow or reverse the secularisation process in the West.

View talk on book ‘Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth’ from Festival of Dangerous Ideas, Sydney Opera House, Oct 3, 2010

 Latest Articles, Appearances and News

Upcoming 

• ‘Brexit and Trump: why it’s NOT the economy, stupid,’ at “What’s Next for the UK, EU, and the US?” conference, U.C. Berkeley, Aug.30 slides
• ‘Can Narratives of National Identity reduce support for Hard Brexit and Trump? : a survey experiment,’ American Political Science Association, San Francisco, Sept.1 slides
• ‘Do Remainers move to Islington?: partisan residential sorting in the UK,’ ePoP conference, University of Nottingham, 9-11 Sept slides

Recent

• ‘Contact with difference or ‘white flight’?: why whites in diverse places tend to vote Remain,’ Understanding Society (EU referendum project), University of Essex, 28 June slides
• Guest on BBC Talkback discussing Orangeism and sectarianism, 25 July
• Cited in Justin Caruso, ‘Most Trump Voters Don’t Think It’s Racist To Limit Immigration For Cultural Reasons,’ Daily Caller, July 17
• ‘Is tribalism racist? Antiracism norms and immigration,’ LSE British Politics and Policy blog, 9 July 2017
• In CapX debate, ‘This house believes Britain should open its borders after it leaves the EU,’ London, Houses of Parliament, 11 July (feat. Nicky Morgan, MP, Sunder Katwala, Garvan Walshe and I) podcast
• Cited in Ed West, ’13 Things we have learnt about Britain since the Referendum,’ Spectator, 23 June
• Cited in Karl McDonald, ‘What is an Orangeman?’ iNews, 22 June
• In discussion at Centre of Pan African Thought, ‘Is Britain a post-racial society?’, 15 June, Swedenborg Hall, London
• Cited in Ben Southwood, ‘Tories need to sell young people a vision of the future,’ Times, June 13
• Talk to group of 12 German MPs, Chatham House, on immigration and integration in UK and Europe, Chatham House/Robert Bosch Siftung, 12 June slides participants
• Cited in ‘Manchester attack brings Muslim integration into focus,’ Financial Times, 12 June
• ‘Guilt Edged-Bonds’, my review of Douglas Murray’s The Strange Death of Europe, Literary Review, June issue
• Cited in Martin Collacott, ‘Canada replacing its population a case of wilful ignorance, greed, excess political correctness,’ Vancouver Sun, 4 June
• Interviewed on Stephen Quinn “On the Coast” Show, CBC Vancouver, June 1
• Interviewed on Kirk LaPointe Show, Roundhouse Radio, Vancouver, June 1
• With Simon Hix and Thomas Leeper, ‘UK voters, including Leavers, care more about reducing non-EU than EU migration’, LSE British Politics and Policy blog, May 30
• Cited in Douglas Todd,  ‘Almost 7 in 10 Metro residents will be non-white in two decades,’ Vancouver Sun, May 30
• My article “Levels or changes?: Ethnic context, immigration and the UK Independence party vote,” on early view in Electoral Studies
• Interviewed as part of BBC World Service Inquiry radio programme on ‘How Did Immigration Stop Being a Political Taboo in the UK?’, 18 May 2017 (my section from from 18:50)
• ‘Values and the Brexit Vote,’ Convention on Brexit and the Political Crash, Central Hall, Westminster, London, May 12 –13
• Mention in Sunny Hundal, ‘The rise of the far right has nothing to do with economic policy, and the left needs to accept that,’ Independent, 7 May
• ‘Cosmopolitan Cities and their country cousins,’ UK in a Changing Europe, 2 May
• “Values and Cited in Simon Kuper, ‘My comeback on Trump, Le Pen, Brexit, climate change…‘, 27 April
• Demography: Explaining Brexit, Trump and the European Populist Right,” Social Market Foundation (SMF), London, 27 April blog summary
• Cited in Uri Friedman, ‘What is a Nativist?’, The Atlantic, Apr 11
• Quoted in podcast, ‘The Rise of Europe’s Far Right, as told through a small German suburb,’ Leonard Lopate Show, WNYC, 29 Mar
• Cited in Amanda Taub, ‘How a Sleepy German Suburb Explains Europe’s Rising Far-Right Movements,’ New York Times,  20 Mar
• published new article, ‘Complexity and Nationalism,’ Nations and Nationalism, online open access
• Mention in David Goodhart, ‘Why I left my London Tribe,’ Financial Times, 17 Mar
• Guest on BBC Newsnight, with Evan Davis, 16 Mar
• ‘Why the fear of Islamization is driving populist right support, and what to do about it,’ LSE British Politics and Policy blog, Mar 16
• Spoke at Royal Geographical Society (with IBG) “A ‘United’ Kingdom?’ ” Policy Forum, 16 March slides
• Cited in David Aaronovitch, ‘Defending White Interests Can Never be Right,’ Times, 15 Mar
• Cited in Zack Beauchamp, ‘No easy answers: why left-wing economics is not the answer to right-wing populism,’ Vox, 13 Mar
• ‘Are we to assume whites do not have group preferences?’ letter, Financial Times, 8 March
• Spoke at “Emu and the New Challenges Ahead for the European Union,” Euro 50 Group, European Commission, Brussels, 6-7 March 2017
• Author of report ‘Racial Self-Interest is not Racism,’ Policy Exchange, 3 March 2017 (pp. 1-60)
• Co-author and cited in Goodhart, David. ‘White Self-Interest is not the Same Thing as Racism,’ Financial Times, 3 March 2017
• Spoke at Centre for Science and Policy (CSaP) Policy Leaders Fellowship Roundtable meeting on “Social Cohesion”, University of Cambridge, 24 February
• ‘The Populist Backlash in Western Politics,’ roundtable event, Department of Politics, Birkbeck College, 23 Feb podcast
• Interviewed about white nationalism on Sky TV, 21 Feb, 7:30-7:45pm
• ‘Two Britains’, at ‘ “Brexit means Brexit”, but what does that mean?’ event, UEA Norwich, 16 Feb. 2017 slides webcast
• Spoke at City Forum ‘Policing a Perplexed Society,’ 9 February, London slides
• Submitted brief to Home Office Select Committee on Immigration Enquiry, 2 Feb
• Spoke at LSE Institute of Public Affairs Event, The New Nationalism, 30 January, London School of Economics slides podcast
• Spoke on panel with Yvette Cooper, Trevor Phillips and Ayeesha Hazarika at Fabian Society New Year 2017 Conference, 14 January, Friends House, London podcast
• Cited in Oystein Langenberg, ‘We must cultivate unity rather than diversity and multiculturalism, researchers report,’ Aftenposten, 19 Dec 2016
• Letter re Casey Review, published in Times, 11 Dec
• ‘White Avoidance’ at Child Poverty Action Group ‘Maintaining a social mix locally’ event for London councillors, City Hall, 9 Dec slides
• ‘Brexit and the new values divide in the West,’ Birkbeck College Department of Politics, 7 Dec slides
• ‘Holier than thou’, review of Marzouki, McDonnell and Roy, Saving the People: how populists hijack religion, Literary Review, December preprint
• ‘Majority Avoidance: one of the few holes in Casey’s strong report,’ Policy Exchange blog, 5 Dec (2:15:00, or 8:15) link
• Mention by Dame Louise Casey on BBC Radio 4 Today programme, 5 Dec
• ‘Abnormal,’ Adam Smith Institute (ASI) Forum, 3 Dec slides
• ‘The Indicators that show who voted for Trump and Brexit,’ Prospect, 29 Nov
• Interviewed on Liz Green Show,  BBC Radio Leeds on segregation, 28 Nov
• ‘Positive contact or “white flight”? Why whites in diverse places are more tolerant of immigration,’ Asian Fire Service, 25 November slides
• Lecture on ‘Brexit and Trump: Rising Nationalism,’ University of Winchester, 22 Nov
• Interviewed on white nationalism on Michelangelo Signorile Sirius XM Show (New York City), 21 Nov
• Cited in Amanda Taub, ‘White Nationalism Explained’, New York Times, 21 Nov
• Chaired panel on ‘The New Minority: white working class politics in an era of immigration and inequality,’ LSE, 21 Nov
• Spoke on panel on ‘A World in Crisis: climate change, violence, demography and the world economy,’ Birkbeck College, 17 Nov podcast
• Cited in Matthew Parris, ‘Don’t Panic: Trumpism is just a passing fad,’ Times, Nov. 12
• Cited in Doug Saunders, ‘Whitewashed: The real reason Donald Trump got elected? We have a white extremism problem,’ Toronto Globe and Mail, Nov 12
• Cited in Tom Chivers, ‘How Trump And Farage Won By Promising The People The World’, BuzzFeed, Nov 12
• Trump/Brexit analysis cited in Zack Beauchamp, “These 2 charts explain how racism helped fuel Trump’s victory,” Vox, Nov 10
• Cited in  Amanda Taub, ‘Trump’s Victory and the Rise of White Populism’, New York Times, 9 Nov
• ‘Trump and Brexit: why it’s again NOT the economy, stupid,’ New Statesman blog, Fabian Society,  LSE British Politics blog
• Cited in Charedi ‘segregation’ may breed ‘intolerance and prejudice’, Israel Times, Nov. 7
• Also cites in Mirror, Express, Mail and regional papers
• Cited in John Denham, ‘What’s the leftwing answer to the integration problem? Nation-building,’ New Statesman Staggers blog, Nov 2
• Cited in ‘UK Cities that show how big the racial divide has become,’ Metro, Nov 2
• Cited in ‘Britain’s White Flight,’ Daily Mail, Nov 2
• Interviewed on LBC radio in connection with segregation report, Nov 2
• Cited in Richard Ford, ‘UK becoming more divided as ‘white avoidance’ takes hold,’ Times, November 2
• Cited in Amanda Taub, ‘Behind 2016’s Turmoil, a Crisis of White Identity,’ New York Times, November 2
• Work mentioned in Chuka Ummuna, ‘Foreword to “Is segregation on the increase in the UK?”, Guardian, 2 November
• with Ted Cantle, ‘Is segregation on the increase in the UK?’ openDemocracyUK, 2 November
• Work cited in ‘Britain becoming more segregated than 15 years ago, says race expert,’ Guardian, 2 November
• ‘The Soft Brexit Majority’ The New European, Oct. 31 uncut version
• Work cited in David Aaronovitch, ‘Ugly truth about the rise of Trump and Brexit,’ The Times, Oct. 19
• ‘It’s NOT the economy, stupid: the causes of Brexit,’ University of Roehampton, 17 October slides
• ‘Can narratives of national identity reduce support for Brexit and Trump?: a survey experiment’, Nuffield College, Oxford, 11 October slides
• Spoke at Conservative Party conference Westminster Council  immigration and integration policy event, 4 October, Birmingham
• Spoke at Conservative Party conference Policy Exchange immigration and integration policy event, 3 October, Birmingham
• ‘Assimilation and the immigration debate: shifting people’s attitudes,’ LSE British Politics blog, 1 October
• On Andrew Pierce show discussing Centre for Social Justice/Legatum Institute report on causes of Brexit, LBC radio, 30 September
• ‘Hard Brexit?: only if it’s free,’ LSE British Politics and Policy blog, 28 September
• Spoke at ‘Integration and segregation after the Casey Review’, Labour Party conference event, 27 September, Liverpool
• ‘Assimilation: why it needs to become part of the immigration debate,’ Fabian Society, 26 September
• My blog post on the drivers of the Brexit vote at the Fabian Society and LSE British Politics finding that capital punishment, not economic position, explains Brexit voting was cited as an influence by Tim Stimpson, producer of the September 11, 2016 episode of BBC’s The Archers which decided Helen’s fate. The episode is here with a key passage from 15:00 to 15:33.
• “The Tipping Point: Do whites flee neighbourhoods once minorities exceed 20% of the population?,” British Society for Population Studies conference, 15 September presentation
• “The ‘Left Behind’? Reconciling individual and aggregate UK Independence Party voting”, at Elections, Public Opinion and Politics (ePop) conference, University of Kent, 9 September   presentation  paper
• “Does Diversity Produce Hostility? A Meta Analysis, at Elections, Public Opinion and Politics”, (ePop) conference, University of Kent, 9 Sept paper   presentation
• Addressed All-Parliamentary Group on Integration, 5 September audio
• ‘The Diversity Wave: A Meta Analysis of ethnic diversity and native white backlash,’ in theme panel on “The Rise of the Radical Right in Europe after the Migrant Crisis and Paris,” American Political Science Association meetings, Philadelphia, Sept 1-4 presentation paper
• “The ‘Left Behind’? Reconciling individual and aggregate UK Independence Party voting”, American Political Science Association meetings, Philadelphia, Sept 1-4 presentation paper
• Anti-Immigrant Nativism as Sons of the Soil Conflict, American Political Science Association meetings, Philadelphia, Sept 1-4 presentation
• with David Goodhart, ‘A  Respectable Englishness,’ Fabian Society, 16 August
• Mention in William Davison, ‘Brexit’s Confounding Conservatism Leaves the UK Left Upset and Adrift’, The Wire, Aug 12
• Mention in Simon Wren-Lewis, ‘A Divided Nation,’ Aug 8
• Mention in ‘Causes of Brexit’ page, wikipedia
• Mention in Alexander Jan, ‘The whole UK will suffer if London loses out in the Brexit aftermath’, City AM 25 July
• Spoke at ‘Brexit: What now for the UK and EU?‘, Birkbeck Department of Politics, 21 July podcast
• cited in ‘The link between Brexit and the death penalty,’ BBC News, 17 July
• ‘What if minorities are willing to dance, yet the majority is not?’, All-Party Parliamentary Group on Integration blog, 11 July
• ‘It’s NOT the economy, stupid’ LSE British Politics and Policy blog, 7 July
• ‘It’s NOT the economy, stupid’ for event on Brexit at Policy Exchange, 4 July slides webcast
• ‘Celebrating Differences in our Commonality.’ Address to All-Party Parliamentary Group on Integration, 4 July, House of Commons link
• Spoke on Monocle Daily radio show on nationalism and national identity, 4 July link
• On SKY News re Nigel Farage resignation, 4 July
• ‘Green Identity, Nationalism and Climate Change,’ at BISR “The Challenge of Climate Change: What Can and Can’t Be Fixed?,” Birkbeck College, U. London, 28 June slides  event
• Mention in Ben Chu, ‘Why did people really vote for Brexit? If we don’t face the psychological reasons, we’ll never bring Britain together,’ Independent, 26 June
• Mention in Cassidy, John, ‘Why the Remain Campaign Lost the Brexit Vote,’ New Yorker, June 24
• ‘Brexit Voters: NOT  the Left Behind,’ Fabian Society blog, 24 June Italian translation for lavoce.info
• On SKY News debate on immigration and Brexit, 22 June, 1pm
• ‘Majority Nationalism: from inclusion to exclusion’, keynote address at University of Nottingham conference on Majoritarian Nationalism and the rights of non-dominant groups, 15 June 2016 slides
• ‘The Religious Demography of London since 1980′ for David Goodhew and Anthony-Paul Cooper (eds), No Secular City: Church Growth and Decline in London, 1980 to the Present (Oxford, 2016)
• ‘Differences in Commonality’ at Social Integration: what is it? How do we promote it?, The-Challenge-Network event, UCL, 9 June video
• On BBC TV News London, 24 May 2016 (from 6:46 pm)
• Cited in ‘Integration Nation,’ The Economist, 21 May 2016
• Keynote address at LSE Government Department retreat on theme of Integration, Cumberland Lodge, 29 April 2016 slides
• ‘Cracking Up: Immigration and the Polarization of Nations’, keynote speech at 26th ASEN conference on “Nationalism, Migration and Population Change”, London School of Economics, 20 April slides
• From Multiculturalism to Multivocalism: complexity, national identity and political theory, Identities (in section on Building inclusive nations in the age of migration), April 2016 prepublication version official
• ‘The Political Background to the Migrant Crisis,’ in Migrants and Languages conference, Birkbeck College, U. London, 22 March slides
• review of Goldstone, Kaufmann and Toft, Political Demography, Comparative Sociology, 45, 2, 2016
• ‘Nudging Integration’, Policy Exchange/Tower Hamlets Council, 1 March slides
• Presented at ESRC project findings at Secondary Data Analysis Initiative (SDAI) Showcase Event, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, 29 Feb
• In Late@BBK Debate: London’s Future – Politics, People and Identity – Cinema, 25 February, Birkbeck College, University of London
• David Willetts in Conversation with Tony Wright, Birkbeck Politics blog, 23 February 2016 podcast
• ‘Why majority cultural preferences should shape, but not determine, immigration policy’, Verfassungsblog, 18 February 2016
• Submission to Casey Review on Integration and Extremism, 22 January 2016
• Mention in Goodhart David, “When it comes to integrating immigrants, friendship is the key,” Telegraph, 24 Jan 2016
• ‘Ethnic Change in the West: White Responses,’ Be Birkbeck lecture, 25 January 630 pm
• Participated in Casey Review of Integration roundtable, Home Office, 21 January
• ‘Class, Englishness and the UKIP Vote’, for “English Issues’ in the 2015 General Election” conference, Centre for English Identity and Politics, University of Winchester, 18 January presentation
• Review of White Backlash: Immigration, Race and American Politics, in Literary Review, Christmas edition unedited preprint [official version]
• ‘Changes Alarm, Time Disarms: Ethnic Context and the Political Demography of Anti-Immigration,’ at ‘Europe’s migration crisis and the Populist Response’ event, 23 November, Wolfson Suite, London, University of London slides podcast audio details
• ‘The White British response to immigration,’ at event on ‘Immigration and Asylum policies in Britain’, London School of Economics, 5 November presentation podcast
• ‘Nationalism, Ethnicity and Multiculturalism in Britain,’ presentation to Dutch parliamentarians, Netherlands Embassy, London, 19 Oct slides
• Our project featured as an impact case in ESRC Secondary Data Analysis Initiative magazine, 25 September
• ‘From multiculturalism to multivocalism,’ at Building Inclusive Nations in the Age of Migration symposium, University of Loughborough, 24 September presentation
• Quoted in Doug Todd, ‘Tears are not enough: migrant crisis calls for reality check’, Vancouver Sun, Sept 19, 2015
• Quoted in Reihan Salam, ‘White Fright: Does Donald Trump represent the ascendancy of white nationalism on the American right?‘, Slate, Septmeber 4, 2016
• ‘Contact Not White Flight': contextual diversity and the UKIP vote in Britain,’ part of Theme Panel: “The Rise of the Populist Right?: Anti-Immigration Parties in Western Europe,” American Political Science Association conference, San Francisco, Sept 3-6 paper presentation
• On Sky News 24 about migrant crisis, 1030 am, 16 Sept 2015
• ‘Shifting Demographics’, ESRC Society Now, Summer 2015 issue, p. 13
• On Sky News 24 about Hungarian border fence and migrant crisis, 1040 am, 27 Aug 2015
• Quoted in Sarah Glazer, ‘European Migrant Crisis: should the EU Open its Doors Wider?,’ Congressional Quarterly, 31 July
• On Sky News 24 about Calais Migrant crisis, 930 am, 31 July 2015
• ‘Taxpayers and kippers: why the polls got it wrong’, at University of Kent Election Blues: Why Labour Lost event, House of Lords, 25 June slides
• Cited in Nick Hellen, ‘Schools in Wider Racial Split than St. Louis,’ Sunday Times, 5 July 2015
• BISR Political and Social Theory Seminar: “Complexity, Nationalism and Political Theory”, Birkbeck College, University of London, 10 June slide
• Spoke at launch of Demos Integration Hub, 20 May slides
• ‘Reflections on UKIP and the 2015 Election,’ Political Quarterly, 18 May
• ‘White Flight’ or Positive Contact?: local diversity and attitudes to immigration in Britain, Comparative Political Studies, published May 15 on firstview
• Interviewed on UKIP on BBC London 94.9 Vanessa Feltz show
• The ‘shy’ English nationalists who won it for the Tories and flummoxed the pollsters, LSE British Politics blog, 12 May
• Interviewed about UK election on Global TV (Canada), 6 May clip
• ‘Why winning back Ukippers won’t necessarily save Tories’, New Statesman May2015 blog, 6 May 2015
• ‘UKIP’s Effect on this Election’, Birkbeck College ‘Who Will Win?’ event, 30 April slides podcast slides
• Interview on BBC Persian service on the election and multiculturalism, 27 April clip (from 4:20)
• Keynote speech, ‘Nationalism and Complexity’ at Association for the Study of Ethnicity and Nationalism conference, LSE, 21-23 April slides
• Talk on Nationalism, Ethnicity and Religious Conflict, IAPSS World Congress 2015, London, 16 April slides
• Chaired launch of Paul Morland, Demographic Strategies in Ethnic Conflict, 26 March, 6pm, Birkbeck College, U. London podcast
• Respondent to speech by Lisa Nandy, MP speech on ‘Patriotism and the Left’, Class (Centre for Labour and Social Studies), 25 March
• Interviewed on ITV television documentary ‘Things We Don’t Say About Race That Are True ,’ hosted by Trevor Phillips, 19 March 2015
• Interview on ITV on politics of immigration, 19 March 2015
• Interviewed as ‘We Asked an Expert What Would Happen If Nigel Farage Quit As UKIP Leader,’ Vice.com, 17 March
• On BBC Radio 3 Freethinking programme on Social Identity in a time of transformation with Philip Dodd, 25 Feb podcast
• Cited in Doug Todd, ‘How immigration issue will help Labour win the May British election. What will it do in Canada?‘ Vancouver Sun, Feb. 25
• ‘The Myth of London Exceptionalism': London not as invulnerable to UKIP as commonly reported‘, Demos Quarterly, Issue #5, 2014-15
• ‘White Flight’ in the West?: explaining the persistence of white-minority segregation, Alpine Population Conference, La Thuile, Italy, 25-28 January 2015 slides
• ‘Ukippers are likely to have voted Tory in 2010 – but Labour in the 1990s,’ New Statesman May 2015 blog
• ‘Ethnic Dynamics in England,’ City Forum Creating police leaders for the 21st century, Reform Club, London, 27 November slides
• ‘Rochester and UKIP: We shouldn’t leap to the conclusion that this by-election is a bellwether for 2015,’ LSE British Politics and Policy blog, 21 November 2014
• ‘ Religious rebirth in Europe’s cities: Global demographics and the rise of ethno-religion,’ WIREL conference, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Human Capital, Vienna, 21 November
• ‘The White British Response to Ethnic Change: UKIP, White Flight or Integration?’ , Social Market Foundation’ Chalk & Talk, London, 20 November slides
• “Dear Ukipper…” The letter the Prime Minister should write on immigration’, New Statesman, 19 November (2015 blog) (Staggers blog)
• “Immigration and Integration in Britain: The Great Nationalism Debate,” Review essay of Tariq Modood, Multiculturalism, David Goodhart, The British Dream, and Ted Cantle, Interculturalism, Nationalities Papers, 42:6, pp. 1072-1077 download preprint
• ‘White Flight and the rise of UKIP’, Understanding Society podcast, 27 October 2014
• ‘Demystifying White Flight’, Understanding Society Insights 2014 , pp. 26-7
• ‘It’s the demography stupid: ethnic change and opposition to immigration’, Political Quarterly special issue on the Politics of Immigration
• ‘Introduction: The Politics of Immigration: UKIP and Beyond’, Political Quarterly special issue on the Politics of Immigration
• ‘Demystifying ‘White Flight’, Understanding Society Insights 2014, 30 Oct, pp. 29-30
• My blog, ‘The lessons of Clacton and Heywood: Why UKIP will damage the Tories in 2015 but may ultimately harm Labour’, British Politics LSE blog, Huffington Post and Birkbeck blog, 10 October
• Presentation at Demos (Mapping Integration meeting), 6 October slides
• ‘Changing Places: The white British Response to Ethnic Change’, Demos final report,  launched 29 September 2014 at Tory Party Conference, 11 am download report free here